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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| ndb1 | NOO-Yes | primm | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 63% (1096–631, n=1727) | 38% (5–8, n=13) | 50% (1248–1261, n=2509) | 48% (17938–19366, n=37304) |
| Consensus PnL | $4.6M | -$14K | $3.6M | $14.9M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #108 | was PM monthly #417 | PM monthly #46 | PM monthly #32 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 73% (73 of 100 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 60% (3 of 5 open) | 57% (38 of 67 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled |
|
|
| Weakest topic | NFL −8 pts, n=147 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2% | 42% of 12 at avg 38¢, ROI +2% | 99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% | 94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 13% (won 14% of 187) | 50% (won 17% of 6) | 5% (won 94% of 51) | 10% (won 57% of 2594) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 19% (won 39% of 269) | 17% (won 50% of 2) | 41% (won 99% of 421) | 22% (won 94% of 5704) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 23% (won 57% of 328) | 25% (won 67% of 3) | 49% (won 99% of 508) | 35% (won 99% of 9204) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 44% (won 94% of 622) | 8% (won 100% of 1) | 5% (won 100% of 47) | 33% (won 100% of 8622) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | ndb1 | NOO-Yes | primm | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buccaneers vs. Bears opposite sides · consensus Bears | — | — | Buccaneers $1.5K | Bears $7.9K |
| Jazz vs. Timberwolves same side · consensus Timberwolves | — | Timberwolves $52K | — | Timberwolves $54K |
| Spread: Bears (-6.5) same side · consensus Buccaneers | — | — | Bears $5.8K | Bears $27K |