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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| ndb1 | RN1 | S-Works | stuttig | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 63% (1101–635, n=1736) | 48% (19652–21409, n=41061) | 75% (2552–856, n=3408) | 100% (5–0, n=5) |
| Consensus PnL | $4.6M | $14.9M | $3.6M | $63K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #109 | PM monthly #35 + pinned | PM monthly #66 | PM monthly #122 |
| Sides with the consensus | 70% (67 of 96 open) | 59% (16 of 27 open) | 0% (0 of 1 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| none with 10+ settled | |
| Weakest topic | NFL −7 pts, n=158 | — | Crypto −1 pts, n=46 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 66% of 1537 at avg 66¢, ROI +2% | 94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% | 75% of 2256 at avg 72¢, ROI +2% | 100% of 5 at avg 72¢, ROI +27% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 13% (won 14% of 196) | 10% (won 57% of 2594) | 6% (won 14% of 145) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 18% (won 40% of 283) | 22% (won 94% of 5704) | 16% (won 48% of 367) | 0% |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 23% (won 58% of 348) | 35% (won 99% of 9204) | 23% (won 60% of 509) | 20% (won 100% of 1) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 46% (won 94% of 710) | 33% (won 100% of 8622) | 55% (won 96% of 1235) | 80% (won 100% of 4) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | ndb1 | RN1 | S-Works | stuttig |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Alex Michelsen vs Yannick Hanfmann opposite sides · consensus Alex Michelsen | — | Yannick Hanfmann $5 | — | Alex Michelsen $25K |