Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ndb1RN1S-Worksvtcchampion52
Record (consensus markets)64% (1097–630, n=1727)48% (18678–20261, n=38939)75% (2546–856, n=3402)47% (311–349, n=660)
Consensus PnL$4.8M$14.8M$3.7M$163K
Tracked asPM monthly #97PM monthly #31 + pinnedPM monthly #74PM monthly #513
Sides with the consensus74% (112 of 152 open)63% (17 of 27 open)67% (2 of 3 open)64% (9 of 14 open)
Strongest topics
  • Esports +5 pts n=492, ROI +4%
  • MLB +4 pts n=308, ROI −2%
  • NBA +3 pts n=383, ROI +1%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topicNFL −8 pts, n=147—Crypto −1 pts, n=46—
Settled positions, side won64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%75% of 2256 at avg 72¢, ROI +2%45% of 545 at avg 44¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢13% (won 14% of 187)10% (won 57% of 2594)6% (won 14% of 145)42% (won 3% of 228)
Entries 30–50¢19% (won 39% of 269)22% (won 94% of 5704)16% (won 48% of 367)17% (won 34% of 93)
Entries 50–70¢23% (won 57% of 328)35% (won 99% of 9204)23% (won 60% of 509)13% (won 79% of 70)
Entries 70¢ and up44% (won 94% of 622)33% (won 100% of 8622)55% (won 96% of 1235)28% (won 99% of 154)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketndb1RN1S-Worksvtcchampion52
Will Gen.G and T1 meet in the Worlds 2026 Grand Final?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $49Yes $183
Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win LoL Worlds 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $290——Yes $6.0K