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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ndb1omnibus-076daaprimmRN1
Record (consensus markets)63% (993–576, n=1569)50% (15596–15690, n=31286)50% (1116–1128, n=2244)48% (14232–15729, n=29961)
Consensus PnL$4.8M$3.1M$3.6M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #92PM monthly #138PM monthly #51PM monthly #31 + pinned
Sides with the consensus68% (52 of 77 open)58% (71 of 122 open)no open consensus position52% (15 of 29 open)
Strongest topics
Weakest topicNFL −9 pts, n=139———
Settled positions, side won64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%92% of 11270 at avg 61¢, ROI +32%99% of 1013 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢13% (won 15% of 168)8% (won 60% of 874)5% (won 94% of 51)10% (won 57% of 2593)
Entries 30–50¢20% (won 39% of 256)21% (won 87% of 2384)41% (won 99% of 412)22% (won 94% of 5682)
Entries 50–70¢24% (won 58% of 314)38% (won 95% of 4296)50% (won 99% of 503)35% (won 99% of 9181)
Entries 70¢ and up43% (won 93% of 550)33% (won 99% of 3716)5% (won 100% of 47)33% (won 100% of 8519)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

5 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketndb1omnibus-076daaprimmRN1
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $1.6K—Over $1.6K
W50 Huamantla: Ipek Oz vs Diletta Cherubini
opposite sides · consensus Diletta Cherubini
—Diletta Cherubini $8—Ipek Oz $679
W50 Heraklion: Angela Fita Boluda vs Alisa Oktiabreva
opposite sides · consensus Alisa Oktiabreva
—Alisa Oktiabreva $5—Angela Fita Boluda $15
Psim Yogyakarta vs. Dewa United: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $4—Under $8
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $11KYes $4——
Taipei: Coleman Wong vs Kasidit Samrej
same side · consensus Coleman Wong
—Coleman Wong $1.3K—Coleman Wong $6.4K
W50 Heraklion: Jennifer Ruggeri vs Nuria Brancaccio
same side · consensus Nuria Brancaccio
—Nuria Brancaccio $270—Nuria Brancaccio $905
M25 Heraklion: Melios Efstathiou vs Cezar Cretu
same side · consensus Cezar Cretu
—Cezar Cretu $16—Cezar Cretu $692
M25 Valencia: Julio Cesar Porras vs Ivan Gakhov
same side · consensus Ivan Gakhov
—Ivan Gakhov $205—Ivan Gakhov $222