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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| ndb1 | primm | RN1 | SharkbettingCom | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 63% (1095–632, n=1727) | 50% (1248–1260, n=2508) | 48% (17936–19365, n=37301) | 41% (266–385, n=651) |
| Consensus PnL | $4.6M | $3.6M | $14.9M | $107K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #111 | PM monthly #47 | PM monthly #27 + pinned | PM monthly #904 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 71% (70 of 98 open) | 55% (6 of 11 open) | 45% (29 of 64 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | NFL −8 pts, n=147 | — | — | Elections −7 pts, n=32 |
| Settled positions, side won | 64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2% | 99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% | 94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% | 48% of 491 at avg 38¢, ROI +8% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 13% (won 14% of 187) | 5% (won 94% of 51) | 10% (won 57% of 2594) | 35% (won 25% of 170) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 19% (won 39% of 269) | 41% (won 99% of 421) | 22% (won 94% of 5704) | 40% (won 49% of 197) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 23% (won 57% of 328) | 49% (won 99% of 508) | 35% (won 99% of 9204) | 17% (won 68% of 85) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 44% (won 94% of 622) | 5% (won 100% of 47) | 33% (won 100% of 8622) | 8% (won 97% of 39) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | ndb1 | primm | RN1 | SharkbettingCom |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raiders vs. 49ers opposite sides · consensus 49ers | — | 49ers $85K | Raiders $39 | — |
| Cardinals vs. Seahawks: O/U 42.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $9.1K | Over $3.4K | — |
| Spread: Seahawks (-9.5) opposite sides · consensus Cardinals | — | Cardinals $1.6K | Seahawks $2.5K | — |
| Packers vs. Patriots: O/U 46.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $803 | Over $1.8K | — |
| Packers vs. Patriots same side · consensus Packers | — | Packers $76K | Packers $4.0K | — |