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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| ndb1 | primm | RN1 | TheMathGod | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 64% (1097–630, n=1727) | 49% (1224–1251, n=2475) | 48% (18678–20261, n=38939) | 63% (115–69, n=184) |
| Consensus PnL | $4.8M | $3.6M | $14.8M | -$46K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #98 | PM monthly #52 | PM monthly #33 + pinned | PM monthly #785 |
| Sides with the consensus | 73% (111 of 153 open) | 50% (2 of 4 open) | 60% (37 of 62 open) | 50% (1 of 2 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | NFL −8 pts, n=147 | — | — | MLB −11 pts, n=64 |
| Settled positions, side won | 64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2% | 99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% | 94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% | 63% of 179 at avg 64¢, ROI −4% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 13% (won 14% of 187) | 5% (won 94% of 51) | 10% (won 57% of 2594) | 2% (won 33% of 3) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 19% (won 39% of 269) | 41% (won 99% of 421) | 22% (won 94% of 5704) | 8% (won 47% of 15) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 23% (won 57% of 328) | 49% (won 99% of 508) | 35% (won 99% of 9204) | 59% (won 53% of 105) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 44% (won 94% of 622) | 5% (won 100% of 47) | 33% (won 100% of 8622) | 31% (won 86% of 56) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
4 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | ndb1 | primm | RN1 | TheMathGod |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raiders vs. 49ers same side · consensus 49ers | — | 49ers $40K | — | 49ers $725 |
| Spread: Bengals (-3.5) same side · consensus Bengals | — | Falcons $9.9K | Falcons $5.1K | — |
| Crystal Palace FC vs. Liverpool FC: Both Teams to Score same side · consensus Yes | No $7.4K | — | No $10 | — |
| Spread: Bengals (-4.5) same side · consensus Bengals | — | Falcons $1.7K | Falcons $251 | — |