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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ndb1primmRN1vtcchampion52
Record (consensus markets)63% (1096–631, n=1727)50% (1248–1261, n=2509)48% (17938–19366, n=37304)47% (313–353, n=666)
Consensus PnL$4.6M$3.6M$14.9M$142K
Tracked asPM monthly #113PM monthly #48PM monthly #32 + pinnedPM monthly #221
Sides with the consensus72% (73 of 101 open)86% (6 of 7 open)54% (32 of 59 open)77% (10 of 13 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
Weakest topicNFL −8 pts, n=147———
Settled positions, side won64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%45% of 545 at avg 44¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢13% (won 14% of 187)5% (won 94% of 51)10% (won 57% of 2594)42% (won 3% of 228)
Entries 30–50¢19% (won 39% of 269)41% (won 99% of 421)22% (won 94% of 5704)17% (won 34% of 93)
Entries 50–70¢23% (won 57% of 328)49% (won 99% of 508)35% (won 99% of 9204)13% (won 79% of 70)
Entries 70¢ and up44% (won 94% of 622)5% (won 100% of 47)33% (won 100% of 8622)28% (won 99% of 154)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

4 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketndb1primmRN1vtcchampion52
Cardinals vs. Seahawks: O/U 42.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $13KOver $3.4K—
Spread: Texans (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Texans
—Texans $11KChargers $3.6K—
Spread: Seahawks (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Seahawks
—Cardinals $85Seahawks $4.3K—
Packers vs. Patriots
same side · consensus Packers
—Packers $87KPackers $4.6K—
Spread: Packers (-16.5)
same side · consensus Packers
—Packers $6.6KPackers $4.5K—
Spread: Texans (-4.5)
same side · consensus Texans
—Texans $2.7KTexans $7.1K—
Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win LoL Worlds 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $291——Yes $6.1K