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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ndb1primmTheWindKnowsmyName
Record (consensus markets)63% (989–572, n=1561)50% (1105–1117, n=2222)67% (183–89, n=272)
Consensus PnL$3.2M$3.6M-$102K
Tracked asPM monthly #104PM monthly #46was PM monthly #953
Sides with the consensus72% (69 of 96 open)no open consensus position48% (91 of 189 open)
Strongest topics
Weakest topicNFL −9 pts, n=139——
Settled positions, side won64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%99% of 1013 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%88% of 177 at avg 68¢, ROI +27%
Entries under 30¢13% (won 15% of 168)5% (won 94% of 51)12% (won 33% of 21)
Entries 30–50¢20% (won 39% of 256)41% (won 99% of 412)14% (won 84% of 25)
Entries 50–70¢24% (won 58% of 314)50% (won 99% of 503)12% (won 90% of 21)
Entries 70¢ and up43% (won 93% of 550)5% (won 100% of 47)62% (won 99% of 110)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.