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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| ndb1 | primm | TheWindKnowsmyName | UpTheBlues | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 63% (989–572, n=1561) | 50% (1105–1117, n=2222) | 67% (183–90, n=273) | 50% (20851–20547, n=41398) |
| Consensus PnL | $3.2M | $3.6M | -$102K | $3.2M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #103 | PM monthly #47 | was PM monthly #953 | PM monthly #7 |
| Sides with the consensus | 70% (62 of 88 open) | no open consensus position | 50% (92 of 184 open) | 70% (31 of 44 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| ||
| Weakest topic | NFL −9 pts, n=139 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 99% of 1013 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% | 88% of 177 at avg 68¢, ROI +27% | 100% of 38237 at avg 67¢, ROI +37% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 13% (won 15% of 168) | 5% (won 94% of 51) | 12% (won 33% of 21) | 7% (won 99% of 2623) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 20% (won 39% of 256) | 41% (won 99% of 412) | 14% (won 84% of 25) | 21% (won 100% of 7839) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 24% (won 58% of 314) | 50% (won 99% of 503) | 12% (won 90% of 21) | 22% (won 100% of 8452) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 43% (won 93% of 550) | 5% (won 100% of 47) | 62% (won 99% of 110) | 51% (won 100% of 19323) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | ndb1 | primm | TheWindKnowsmyName | UpTheBlues |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republican Party hold below 190 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections? same side · consensus Yes | No $3 | — | No $12 | — |