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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
neymar1sainttroplaybeachboy4primm
Record (consensus markets)33% (355–716, n=1071)71% (10–4, n=14)68% (43–20, n=63)50% (941–941, n=1882)
Consensus PnL$156K$4.4M$5.8M$3.4M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #414was PM monthly #11was PM monthly #24PM monthly #181
Sides with the consensus58% (11 of 19 open)no open consensus position100% (1 of 1 open)55% (12 of 22 open)
Strongest topics
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
Weakest topic——NBA −6 pts, n=92—
Settled positions, side won82% of 454 at avg 37¢, ROI +48%100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52%57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%99% of 883 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢32% (won 66% of 146)0%3% (won 17% of 6)5% (won 93% of 43)
Entries 30–50¢46% (won 87% of 207)50% (won 100% of 5)29% (won 56% of 62)41% (won 99% of 366)
Entries 50–70¢21% (won 96% of 97)50% (won 100% of 5)54% (won 51% of 115)49% (won 99% of 433)
Entries 70¢ and up1% (won 100% of 4)0%14% (won 86% of 29)5% (won 100% of 41)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketneymar1sainttroplaybeachboy4primm
Chiefs vs. Broncos
same side · consensus Chiefs
Broncos $472——Broncos $6.8K
Chargers vs. Rams
same side · consensus Rams
Chargers $694——Chargers $1.1K