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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| nonkenny90 | 00gringo00 | surfandturf | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 91% (4755–463, n=5218) | 75% (6–2, n=8) | 54% (225–189, n=414) | 45% (542–652, n=1194) |
| Consensus PnL | $87K | $3.5M | $9.4M | $10.6M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #959 | was PM monthly #19 | was PM monthly #326 | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 94% (108 of 115 open) | no open consensus position | 50% (1 of 2 open) | 91% (148 of 163 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled | not computed yet | ||
| Weakest topic | Finance −3 pts, n=168 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 93% of 5633 at avg 92¢, ROI +2% | 86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25% | — | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 1% (won 8% of 39) | 0% | — | 10% (won 82% of 56) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 1% (won 30% of 43) | 0% | — | 36% (won 98% of 198) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 2% (won 57% of 134) | 100% (won 86% of 7) | — | 35% (won 99% of 191) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 96% (won 95% of 5417) | 0% | — | 19% (won 100% of 107) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | nonkenny90 | 00gringo00 | surfandturf | BreakTheBank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $3.8K | — | — | No $202K |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus No | No $35K | — | — | Yes $85K |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | No $3.5K | — | — | Yes $31K |