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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
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Record (consensus markets)50% (15596–15690, n=31286)50% (1116–1128, n=2244)48% (14232–15729, n=29961)28% (316–821, n=1137)
Consensus PnL$3.1M$3.6M$14.8M$33K
Tracked asPM monthly #138PM monthly #51PM monthly #31 + pinnedPM monthly #120
Sides with the consensus59% (72 of 122 open)no open consensus position52% (16 of 31 open)100% (4 of 4 open)
Strongest topics
Weakest topic———Elections −1 pts, n=182
Settled positions, side won92% of 11270 at avg 61¢, ROI +32%99% of 1013 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%41% of 492 at avg 42¢, ROI +13%
Entries under 30¢8% (won 60% of 874)5% (won 94% of 51)10% (won 57% of 2593)52% (won 3% of 256)
Entries 30–50¢21% (won 87% of 2384)41% (won 99% of 412)22% (won 94% of 5682)6% (won 32% of 28)
Entries 50–70¢38% (won 95% of 4296)50% (won 99% of 503)35% (won 99% of 9181)7% (won 64% of 36)
Entries 70¢ and up33% (won 99% of 3716)5% (won 100% of 47)33% (won 100% of 8519)35% (won 95% of 172)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

4 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketomnibus-076daaprimmRN1Vale54holi
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $1.6K—Over $1.6K—
W50 Huamantla: Ipek Oz vs Diletta Cherubini
opposite sides · consensus Diletta Cherubini
Diletta Cherubini $8—Ipek Oz $679—
W50 Heraklion: Angela Fita Boluda vs Alisa Oktiabreva
opposite sides · consensus Alisa Oktiabreva
Alisa Oktiabreva $5—Angela Fita Boluda $15—
Psim Yogyakarta vs. Dewa United: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $4—Under $9—
Taipei: Coleman Wong vs Kasidit Samrej
same side · consensus Coleman Wong
Coleman Wong $1.4K—Coleman Wong $7.3K—
W50 Heraklion: Jennifer Ruggeri vs Nuria Brancaccio
same side · consensus Nuria Brancaccio
Nuria Brancaccio $270—Nuria Brancaccio $1.1K—
M25 Heraklion: Melios Efstathiou vs Cezar Cretu
same side · consensus Cezar Cretu
Cezar Cretu $15—Cezar Cretu $692—
M25 Valencia: Julio Cesar Porras vs Ivan Gakhov
same side · consensus Ivan Gakhov
Ivan Gakhov $205—Ivan Gakhov $222—