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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| oxe78sh4w98 | RN1 | beachboy4 | CORGII | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 54% (371–321, n=692) | 48% (12930–14106, n=27036) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 62% (393–246, n=639) |
| Consensus PnL | $45K | $13.4M | $5.8M | $4.5M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #299 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | was PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #68 |
| Sides with the consensus | 100% (2 of 2 open) | 55% (6 of 11 open) | 100% (2 of 2 open) | 33% (1 of 3 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | — | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 326 at avg 57¢, ROI +43% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 4% (won 71% of 14) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 9% (won 92% of 36) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 26% (won 96% of 84) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) | 29% (won 56% of 62) | 56% (won 99% of 223) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 49% (won 98% of 160) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 33% (won 100% of 133) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 21% (won 100% of 68) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 2% (won 100% of 7) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | oxe78sh4w98 | RN1 | beachboy4 | CORGII |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Senators vs. Ducks opposite sides · consensus Senators | Senators $454 | Ducks $2.6K | — | — |