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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| paddaa | 00gringo00 | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 52% (290–269, n=559) | 75% (6–2, n=8) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) |
| Consensus PnL | $211K | $3.5M | $10.6M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #36 + pinned | was PM monthly #19 | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 62% (53 of 86 open) | no open consensus position | 72% (73 of 102 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled | |
| Weakest topic | Elections −2 pts, n=167 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 47% of 930 at avg 44¢, ROI +2% | 86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 43% (won 9% of 401) | 0% | 10% (won 85% of 53) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 16% (won 46% of 148) | 0% | 36% (won 98% of 192) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 11% (won 72% of 101) | 100% (won 86% of 7) | 35% (won 99% of 187) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 30% (won 94% of 280) | 0% | 20% (won 100% of 107) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | paddaa | 00gringo00 | BreakTheBank |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $5.1K | — | No $35K |
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? same side · consensus No | No $8.7K | — | No $411K |