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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| perfectnostalgia | 00gringo00 | BreakTheBank | sainttroplay | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 52% (238–218, n=456) | 75% (6–2, n=8) | 45% (537–652, n=1189) | 71% (10–4, n=14) |
| Consensus PnL | $156K | $3.5M | $10.6M | $4.4M |
| Tracked as | Hand-picked | was PM monthly #19 | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #11 |
| Sides with the consensus | 75% (15 of 20 open) | no open consensus position | 85% (50 of 59 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled |
| |
| Weakest topic | Politics −4 pts, n=15 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 51% of 589 at avg 48¢, ROI +5% | 86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 41% (won 14% of 244) | 0% | 10% (won 82% of 56) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 16% (won 43% of 96) | 0% | 36% (won 98% of 198) | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 8% (won 61% of 49) | 100% (won 86% of 7) | 35% (won 99% of 191) | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 34% (won 98% of 200) | 0% | 19% (won 100% of 107) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | perfectnostalgia | 00gringo00 | BreakTheBank | sainttroplay |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $4.7K | — | No $202K | — |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $2.3K | — | No $32K | — |
| Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $2.7K | — | Yes $21K | — |