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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
perfectnostalgiabeachboy40x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241CORGII
Record (consensus markets)52% (238–220, n=458)68% (43–20, n=63)56% (101–79, n=180)62% (393–245, n=638)
Consensus PnL$155K$5.8M$3.5M$4.5M
Tracked asHand-pickedwas PM monthly #24was PM monthly #373PM monthly #68
Sides with the consensus76% (16 of 21 open)100% (1 of 1 open)no open consensus position0% (0 of 4 open)
Strongest topics
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
  • MLB +46 pts n=20, ROI +49%
  • Esports +35 pts n=28, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +30 pts n=52, ROI +38%
Weakest topicPolitics −4 pts, n=15NBA −6 pts, n=92——
Settled positions, side won51% of 591 at avg 48¢, ROI +5%57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42%98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%
Entries under 30¢41% (won 14% of 245)3% (won 17% of 6)7% (won 75% of 8)9% (won 92% of 36)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 42% of 97)29% (won 56% of 62)26% (won 93% of 29)56% (won 99% of 223)
Entries 50–70¢8% (won 61% of 49)54% (won 51% of 115)42% (won 96% of 47)33% (won 100% of 133)
Entries 70¢ and up34% (won 98% of 200)14% (won 86% of 29)24% (won 96% of 27)2% (won 100% of 7)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.