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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| pilimili | BreakTheBank | RN1 | 0x53757615de1c42b83f893b79d4241a009dc2aeea | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 63% (158–91, n=249) | 45% (542–652, n=1194) | 47% (13853–15337, n=29190) | 41% (1101–1609, n=2710) |
| Consensus PnL | -$184K | $10.6M | $13.4M | $2.9M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #557 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | PM monthly #410 |
| Sides with the consensus | 56% (10 of 18 open) | 89% (141 of 159 open) | 100% (2 of 2 open) | 33% (1 of 3 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| not computed yet | |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 90% of 183 at avg 80¢, ROI +3% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | — |
| Entries under 30¢ | 4% (won 14% of 7) | 10% (won 82% of 56) | 10% (won 57% of 2537) | — |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 8% (won 71% of 14) | 36% (won 98% of 198) | 22% (won 94% of 5518) | — |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 18% (won 85% of 33) | 35% (won 99% of 191) | 36% (won 99% of 8928) | — |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 70% (won 98% of 129) | 19% (won 100% of 107) | 32% (won 100% of 7821) | — |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | pilimili | BreakTheBank | RN1 | 0x53757615de1c42b83f893b79d4241a009dc2aeea |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | No $20K | — | — | Yes $956 |