← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| plumbis | 00gringo00 | beachboy4 | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 57% (55–41, n=96) | 75% (6–2, n=8) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 45% (537–652, n=1189) |
| Consensus PnL | $49K | $3.5M | $5.8M | $10.6M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #996 | was PM monthly #19 | was PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 86% (36 of 42 open) | no open consensus position | 100% (2 of 2 open) | 85% (53 of 62 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled | ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 66% of 89 at avg 62¢, ROI +3% | 86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 27% (won 8% of 24) | 0% | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 10% (won 82% of 56) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 8% (won 43% of 7) | 0% | 29% (won 56% of 62) | 36% (won 98% of 198) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 6% (won 80% of 5) | 100% (won 86% of 7) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 35% (won 99% of 191) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 60% (won 94% of 53) | 0% | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 19% (won 100% of 107) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | plumbis | 00gringo00 | beachboy4 | BreakTheBank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $306K | — | — | No $202K |
| Will Republicans win Maine, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $300 | — | — | Yes $22K |
| Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Maine, and Michigan? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $40 | — | — | Yes $9.3K |
| Will Republicans win Maine and Texas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, and Ohio? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $60 | — | — | Yes $5.0K |