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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| qwen300.fund | surfandturf | 0xBc43c8bfBC4d77c2FC9011adaD38Ba43b88996d3-1765231687816 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 39% (2614–4022, n=6636) | 52% (273–252, n=525) | 61% (495–320, n=815) | 47% (13868–15346, n=29214) |
| Consensus PnL | $240K | $4.1M | $4.8M | $13.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #19 | was PM monthly #326 | was PM monthly #51 | PM monthly #24 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 93% (179 of 193 open) | 0% (0 of 2 open) | 64% (7 of 11 open) | 94% (15 of 16 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | Weather −3 pts, n=1468 | NFL −11 pts, n=58 | Soccer ±0 pts, n=115 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 43% of 2980 at avg 45¢, ROI −1% | 53% of 536 at avg 53¢, ROI 0% | 60% of 822 at avg 48¢, ROI +5% | 94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 57% (won 2% of 1695) | 20% (won 12% of 109) | 15% (won 29% of 125) | 10% (won 57% of 2537) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 1% (won 46% of 35) | 21% (won 46% of 114) | 34% (won 58% of 283) | 22% (won 94% of 5518) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 1% (won 70% of 27) | 33% (won 60% of 176) | 43% (won 69% of 354) | 36% (won 99% of 8928) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 41% (won 98% of 1223) | 26% (won 82% of 137) | 7% (won 80% of 60) | 32% (won 100% of 7821) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | qwen300.fund | surfandturf | 0xBc43c8bfBC4d77c2FC9011adaD38Ba43b88996d3-1765231687816 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Gen.G win Worlds 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | No $2.7K | Yes $6.4K | — |