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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| redvinny | BreakTheBank | RN1 | 00gringo00 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 80% (1415–348, n=1763) | 45% (542–652, n=1194) | 47% (13860–15341, n=29201) | 75% (6–2, n=8) |
| Consensus PnL | $1.3M | $10.6M | $13.4M | $3.5M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #929 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | was PM monthly #19 |
| Sides with the consensus | 100% (3 of 3 open) | 88% (145 of 164 open) | 67% (4 of 6 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled | ||
| Weakest topic | Soccer −2 pts, n=213 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 88% of 2235 at avg 82¢, ROI +2% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 1% (won 12% of 26) | 10% (won 82% of 56) | 10% (won 57% of 2537) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 1% (won 67% of 12) | 36% (won 98% of 198) | 22% (won 94% of 5518) | 0% |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 9% (won 65% of 211) | 35% (won 99% of 191) | 36% (won 99% of 8928) | 100% (won 86% of 7) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 89% (won 92% of 1986) | 19% (won 100% of 107) | 32% (won 100% of 7821) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | redvinny | BreakTheBank | RN1 | 00gringo00 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rolex Paris Masters: Ignacio Buse vs Zizou Bergs same side · consensus Ignacio Buse | Ignacio Buse $7.9K | — | Ignacio Buse $40K | — |