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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
retarb00gringo000x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241RN1
Record (consensus markets)48% (3620–3987, n=7607)75% (6–2, n=8)56% (101–79, n=180)48% (12823–13908, n=26731)
Consensus PnL$230K$3.5M$3.5M$13.4M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #925was PM monthly #19was PM monthly #373PM monthly #24 + pinned
Sides with the consensus50% (1 of 2 open)no open consensus positionno open consensus position75% (9 of 12 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +35 pts n=29, ROI +13%
  • Soccer +12 pts n=2001, ROI +11%
  • NHL +15 pts n=157, ROI +10%
none with 10+ settled
  • MLB +46 pts n=20, ROI +49%
  • Esports +35 pts n=28, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +30 pts n=52, ROI +38%
Weakest topicCrypto −9 pts, n=21———
Settled positions, side won61% of 3047 at avg 50¢, ROI +11%86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42%94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢25% (won 19% of 771)0%7% (won 75% of 8)10% (won 56% of 2534)
Entries 30–50¢23% (won 53% of 698)0%26% (won 93% of 29)22% (won 94% of 5497)
Entries 50–70¢25% (won 77% of 758)100% (won 86% of 7)42% (won 96% of 47)36% (won 99% of 8897)
Entries 70¢ and up27% (won 92% of 820)0%24% (won 96% of 27)31% (won 100% of 7736)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketretarb00gringo000x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241RN1
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $4——Over $382