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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
saintaphextwinBreakTheBankRN1primm
Record (consensus markets)41% (427–623, n=1050)45% (542–652, n=1194)47% (13853–15337, n=29190)50% (1028–1027, n=2055)
Consensus PnL$12K$10.6M$13.4M$3.4M
Tracked asPM monthly #384PM monthly #1PM monthly #24 + pinnedPM monthly #181
Sides with the consensus71% (15 of 21 open)89% (141 of 159 open)100% (2 of 2 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=134, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=279, ROI +38%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won89% of 479 at avg 47¢, ROI +33%97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%99% of 919 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢16% (won 61% of 76)10% (won 82% of 56)10% (won 57% of 2537)5% (won 94% of 49)
Entries 30–50¢39% (won 96% of 188)36% (won 98% of 198)22% (won 94% of 5518)42% (won 99% of 382)
Entries 50–70¢38% (won 95% of 181)35% (won 99% of 191)36% (won 99% of 8928)49% (won 99% of 446)
Entries 70¢ and up7% (won 88% of 34)19% (won 100% of 107)32% (won 100% of 7821)5% (won 100% of 42)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketsaintaphextwinBreakTheBankRN1primm
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus No
No $19KNo $407K——
Will Brighton win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $22KYes $13K——