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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
saintaphextwinBreakTheBankbeachboy4
Record (consensus markets)41% (427–620, n=1047)45% (526–640, n=1166)68% (43–20, n=63)
Consensus PnL$12K$10.6M$5.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #384PM monthly #1was PM monthly #24
Sides with the consensus68% (13 of 19 open)73% (73 of 100 open)100% (1 of 1 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
Weakest topic——NBA −6 pts, n=92
Settled positions, side won89% of 479 at avg 47¢, ROI +33%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%
Entries under 30¢16% (won 61% of 76)10% (won 85% of 53)3% (won 17% of 6)
Entries 30–50¢39% (won 96% of 188)36% (won 98% of 192)29% (won 56% of 62)
Entries 50–70¢38% (won 95% of 181)35% (won 99% of 187)54% (won 51% of 115)
Entries 70¢ and up7% (won 88% of 34)20% (won 100% of 107)14% (won 86% of 29)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketsaintaphextwinBreakTheBankbeachboy4
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus No
No $19KNo $407K—
Will Brighton win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $20KYes $11K—
Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus No
Yes $1.2KYes $28—