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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
sbimbgBreakTheBank00gringo00sainttroplay
Record (consensus markets)71% (3048–1271, n=4319)45% (526–640, n=1166)75% (6–2, n=8)71% (10–4, n=14)
Consensus PnL$124K$10.6M$3.5M$4.4M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #932PM monthly #1was PM monthly #19was PM monthly #11
Sides with the consensus55% (47 of 86 open)73% (72 of 98 open)no open consensus positionno open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topicGeopolitics −5 pts, n=73———
Settled positions, side won78% of 3987 at avg 72¢, ROI +4%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52%
Entries under 30¢11% (won 18% of 452)10% (won 85% of 53)0%0%
Entries 30–50¢7% (won 50% of 294)36% (won 98% of 192)0%50% (won 100% of 5)
Entries 50–70¢17% (won 68% of 683)35% (won 99% of 187)100% (won 86% of 7)50% (won 100% of 5)
Entries 70¢ and up64% (won 95% of 2558)20% (won 100% of 107)0%0%

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketsbimbgBreakTheBank00gringo00sainttroplay
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $6No $411K——
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $277No $590——
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $745Yes $258K——
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Ohio?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $1Yes $11K——