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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
seal7BreakTheBankCORGII
Record (consensus markets)52% (287–264, n=551)45% (526–640, n=1166)62% (393–245, n=638)
Consensus PnL$122K$10.6M$4.5M
Tracked asPM monthly #364PM monthly #1PM monthly #68
Sides with the consensus72% (13 of 18 open)71% (58 of 82 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
Weakest topicGeopolitics −4 pts, n=89——
Settled positions, side won53% of 525 at avg 44¢, ROI +8%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%
Entries under 30¢40% (won 12% of 210)10% (won 85% of 53)9% (won 92% of 36)
Entries 30–50¢15% (won 49% of 78)36% (won 98% of 192)56% (won 99% of 223)
Entries 50–70¢14% (won 87% of 76)35% (won 99% of 187)33% (won 100% of 133)
Entries 70¢ and up31% (won 93% of 161)20% (won 100% of 107)2% (won 100% of 7)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketseal7BreakTheBankCORGII
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $9.3KNo $35K—