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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| seal7 | sainttroplay | RN1 | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 52% (288–267, n=555) | 71% (10–4, n=14) | 47% (13849–15328, n=29177) | 45% (542–652, n=1194) |
| Consensus PnL | $122K | $4.4M | $13.4M | $10.6M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #364 | was PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 69% (9 of 13 open) | no open consensus position | 50% (2 of 4 open) | 89% (143 of 160 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | Geopolitics −4 pts, n=89 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 53% of 525 at avg 44¢, ROI +8% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% | 94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 40% (won 12% of 210) | 0% | 10% (won 57% of 2537) | 10% (won 82% of 56) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 15% (won 49% of 78) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 22% (won 94% of 5518) | 36% (won 98% of 198) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 14% (won 87% of 76) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 36% (won 99% of 8928) | 35% (won 99% of 191) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 31% (won 93% of 161) | 0% | 32% (won 100% of 7821) | 19% (won 100% of 107) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | seal7 | sainttroplay | RN1 | BreakTheBank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $9.6K | — | — | No $32K |