← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| segment3 | 00gringo00 | beachboy4 | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 60% (12–8, n=20) | 75% (6–2, n=8) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 45% (537–650, n=1187) |
| Consensus PnL | -$64K | $3.5M | $5.8M | $10.6M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #832 | was PM monthly #19 | was PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 76% (13 of 17 open) | no open consensus position | 100% (2 of 2 open) | 85% (52 of 61 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled | none with 10+ settled | ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 87% of 15 at avg 82¢, ROI −7% | 86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 0% | 0% | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 10% (won 82% of 56) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 7% (won 0% of 1) | 0% | 29% (won 56% of 62) | 36% (won 98% of 198) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 13% (won 50% of 2) | 100% (won 86% of 7) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 35% (won 99% of 191) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 80% (won 100% of 12) | 0% | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 19% (won 100% of 107) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | segment3 | 00gringo00 | beachboy4 | BreakTheBank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | No $746 | — | — | Yes $36K |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $2.1K | — | — | No $34K |
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | No $2.2K | — | — | Yes $30K |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House same side · consensus Yes | Yes $2.1K | — | — | Yes $170K |