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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| shiifoo | BreakTheBank | beachboy4 | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 61% (2441–1584, n=4025) | 45% (535–643, n=1178) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 50% (945–947, n=1892) |
| Consensus PnL | $47K | $10.6M | $5.8M | $3.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #347 | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #181 |
| Sides with the consensus | 44% (24 of 55 open) | 71% (83 of 117 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 50% (6 of 12 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | — | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 70% of 1473 at avg 52¢, ROI +8% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 99% of 883 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 25% (won 28% of 372) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 5% (won 93% of 43) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 20% (won 63% of 300) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 29% (won 56% of 62) | 41% (won 99% of 366) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 21% (won 85% of 306) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 49% (won 99% of 433) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 34% (won 98% of 495) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 5% (won 100% of 41) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | shiifoo | BreakTheBank | beachboy4 | primm |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 South Carolina Senate election by 0%-5%? same side · consensus No | Yes $387 | Yes $221 | — | — |