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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
shovelingdigging00gringo00BreakTheBankCORGII
Record (consensus markets)63% (339–200, n=539)75% (6–2, n=8)45% (526–640, n=1166)62% (393–245, n=638)
Consensus PnL$53K$3.5M$10.6M$4.5M
Tracked asPM monthly #928was PM monthly #19PM monthly #1PM monthly #68
Sides with the consensus89% (8 of 9 open)no open consensus position74% (72 of 97 open)25% (1 of 4 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
Weakest topicOther Sports −24 pts, n=20———
Settled positions, side won59% of 594 at avg 54¢, ROI +8%86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%
Entries under 30¢20% (won 15% of 116)0%10% (won 85% of 53)9% (won 92% of 36)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 142)0%36% (won 98% of 192)56% (won 99% of 223)
Entries 50–70¢27% (won 69% of 160)100% (won 86% of 7)35% (won 99% of 187)33% (won 100% of 133)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 89% of 176)0%20% (won 100% of 107)2% (won 100% of 7)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketshovelingdigging00gringo00BreakTheBankCORGII
Chiefs vs. Broncos
opposite sides · consensus Chiefs
Broncos $198—Chiefs $465K—