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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
skibabibasainttroplayBreakTheBankbeachboy4
Record (consensus markets)86% (91–15, n=106)71% (10–4, n=14)45% (542–652, n=1194)68% (43–20, n=63)
Consensus PnL$15K$4.4M$10.6M$5.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #853was PM monthly #11PM monthly #1was PM monthly #24
Sides with the consensus100% (26 of 26 open)no open consensus position90% (147 of 164 open)100% (2 of 2 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=134, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=279, ROI +38%
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
Weakest topic———NBA −6 pts, n=92
Settled positions, side won93% of 102 at avg 84¢, ROI +13%100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52%97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%
Entries under 30¢2% (won 0% of 2)0%10% (won 82% of 56)3% (won 17% of 6)
Entries 30–50¢1% (won 100% of 1)50% (won 100% of 5)36% (won 98% of 198)29% (won 56% of 62)
Entries 50–70¢8% (won 88% of 8)50% (won 100% of 5)35% (won 99% of 191)54% (won 51% of 115)
Entries 70¢ and up89% (won 96% of 91)0%19% (won 100% of 107)14% (won 86% of 29)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketskibabibasainttroplayBreakTheBankbeachboy4
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $15K—No $202K—