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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| smithagent | 0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188 | RN1 | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 46% (2570–2994, n=5564) | 46% (131–154, n=285) | 47% (13871–15347, n=29218) | 45% (542–652, n=1194) |
| Consensus PnL | $4.5K | -$6.6M | $14.8M | $11.0M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #873 | was PM monthly #715 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 64% (7 of 11 open) | no open consensus position | 57% (27 of 47 open) | 91% (150 of 165 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | Soccer ±0 pts, n=1882 | College Basketball −12 pts, n=174 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 45% of 3206 at avg 44¢, ROI 0% | 49% of 1341 at avg 50¢, ROI −2% | 94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 46% (won 5% of 1489) | 0% (won 17% of 6) | 10% (won 57% of 2537) | 10% (won 82% of 56) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 9% (won 38% of 284) | 42% (won 46% of 565) | 22% (won 94% of 5518) | 36% (won 98% of 198) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 10% (won 64% of 318) | 57% (won 51% of 766) | 36% (won 99% of 8928) | 35% (won 99% of 191) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 35% (won 93% of 1115) | 0% (won 100% of 4) | 32% (won 100% of 7821) | 19% (won 100% of 107) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | smithagent | 0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188 | RN1 | BreakTheBank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pakhtakor vs. Al Nassr Club: O/U 3.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $2 | — | Over $2.5K | — |
| Al Nassr Club leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $14 | — | Yes $510 | — |
| Will CD Tenerife win on 2026-11-01? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $162 | — | No $92 | — |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Sebastian Baez opposite sides · consensus Daniel Merida Aguilar | Daniel Merida Aguilar $142 | — | Sebastian Baez $77 | — |
| Will Pakhtakor win on 2026-11-02? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $2 | — | No $134 | — |
| Pakhtakor vs. Al Nassr Club: O/U 5.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $66 | — | Over $2.9K | — |
| CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $21 | — | Under $837 | — |
| CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $7 | — | Under $739 | — |