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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
solwizzo-onXCORGII00gringo00primm
Record (consensus markets)67% (282–136, n=418)62% (393–245, n=638)75% (6–2, n=8)50% (941–941, n=1882)
Consensus PnL$7.9K$4.5M$3.5M$3.4M
Tracked asHand-pickedPM monthly #68was PM monthly #19PM monthly #181
Sides with the consensus74% (20 of 27 open)25% (1 of 4 open)no open consensus position63% (5 of 8 open)
Strongest topics
  • Crypto +7 pts n=156, ROI +7%
  • NBA +13 pts n=34, ROI 0%
  • Finance +8 pts n=85, ROI +4%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topicMLB −4 pts, n=28———
Settled positions, side won57% of 460 at avg 52¢, ROI +1%98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%99% of 883 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢36% (won 7% of 166)9% (won 92% of 36)0%5% (won 93% of 43)
Entries 30–50¢9% (won 49% of 43)56% (won 99% of 223)0%41% (won 99% of 366)
Entries 50–70¢10% (won 77% of 47)33% (won 100% of 133)100% (won 86% of 7)49% (won 99% of 433)
Entries 70¢ and up44% (won 95% of 204)2% (won 100% of 7)0%5% (won 100% of 41)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.