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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| studmuffin6969 | 00gringo00 | BreakTheBank | sainttroplay | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 59% (607–415, n=1022) | 75% (6–2, n=8) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) | 71% (10–4, n=14) |
| Consensus PnL | $129K | $3.5M | $10.6M | $4.4M |
| Tracked as | Hand-picked | was PM monthly #19 | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #11 |
| Sides with the consensus | 84% (43 of 51 open) | no open consensus position | 73% (72 of 98 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled |
| |
| Weakest topic | Culture −18 pts, n=16 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 68% of 1341 at avg 66¢, ROI +3% | 86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 24% (won 8% of 323) | 0% | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 7% (won 43% of 99) | 0% | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 10% (won 60% of 133) | 100% (won 86% of 7) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 59% (won 96% of 786) | 0% | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | studmuffin6969 | 00gringo00 | BreakTheBank | sainttroplay |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House opposite sides · consensus No | No $1.9K | — | Yes $1.1K | — |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House same side · consensus Yes | Yes $2.8K | — | Yes $169K | — |
| Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $520 | — | Yes $16K | — |