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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| stupid22 | BreakTheBank | 00gringo00 | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 95% (306–15, n=321) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) | 75% (6–2, n=8) | 56% (101–79, n=180) |
| Consensus PnL | -$106K | $10.6M | $3.5M | $3.5M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #268 + pinned | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #19 | was PM monthly #373 |
| Sides with the consensus | 94% (30 of 32 open) | 71% (73 of 103 open) | no open consensus position | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled | |||
| Weakest topic | Geopolitics −7 pts, n=87 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 96% of 373 at avg 95¢, ROI −1% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25% | 94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 2% (won 50% of 6) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 0% | 7% (won 75% of 8) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 0% | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 0% | 26% (won 93% of 29) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 1% (won 75% of 4) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 100% (won 86% of 7) | 42% (won 96% of 47) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 97% (won 97% of 363) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 0% | 24% (won 96% of 27) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | stupid22 | BreakTheBank | 00gringo00 | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House opposite sides · consensus No | No $9.9K | Yes $1.1K | — | — |