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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
suntoriRN10x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188surfandturf
Record (consensus markets)45% (10678–13018, n=23696)47% (13860–15341, n=29201)46% (131–154, n=285)52% (273–252, n=525)
Consensus PnL$208K$13.4M$19.0M$4.1M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #792PM monthly #24 + pinnedwas PM monthly #715was PM monthly #326
Sides with the consensus53% (85 of 160 open)71% (5 of 7 open)no open consensus position0% (0 of 2 open)
Strongest topics
  • NHL +4 pts n=196, ROI +5%
  • MMA +4 pts n=148, ROI +10%
  • NBA +4 pts n=76, ROI +12%
Weakest topicCrypto −3 pts, n=3302—College Basketball −12 pts, n=174NFL −11 pts, n=58
Settled positions, side won42% of 10150 at avg 43¢, ROI −2%94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%49% of 1341 at avg 50¢, ROI −2%53% of 536 at avg 53¢, ROI 0%
Entries under 30¢35% (won 9% of 3590)10% (won 57% of 2537)0% (won 17% of 6)20% (won 12% of 109)
Entries 30–50¢22% (won 36% of 2197)22% (won 94% of 5518)42% (won 46% of 565)21% (won 46% of 114)
Entries 50–70¢25% (won 59% of 2489)36% (won 99% of 8928)57% (won 51% of 766)33% (won 60% of 176)
Entries 70¢ and up18% (won 88% of 1874)32% (won 100% of 7821)0% (won 100% of 4)26% (won 82% of 137)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketsuntoriRN10x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188surfandturf
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $2No $7.7K——
Will Gen.G win Worlds 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $83——No $2.7K
Rolex Paris Masters: Ignacio Buse vs Zizou Bergs
same side · consensus Ignacio Buse
Ignacio Buse $106Ignacio Buse $42K——
Will T1 win Worlds 2026?
same side · consensus No
Yes $1.5K——Yes $2.3K