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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
suntoribeachboy4RN10xBc43c8bfBC4d77c2FC9011adaD38Ba43b88996d3-1765231687816
Record (consensus markets)45% (10678–13018, n=23696)68% (43–20, n=63)47% (13860–15341, n=29201)61% (495–320, n=815)
Consensus PnL$208K$5.8M$13.4M$4.8M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #792was PM monthly #24PM monthly #24 + pinnedwas PM monthly #51
Sides with the consensus53% (84 of 159 open)100% (2 of 2 open)71% (5 of 7 open)67% (4 of 6 open)
Strongest topics
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
Weakest topicCrypto −3 pts, n=3302NBA −6 pts, n=93—Soccer ±0 pts, n=115
Settled positions, side won42% of 10150 at avg 43¢, ROI −2%57% of 213 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%60% of 822 at avg 48¢, ROI +5%
Entries under 30¢35% (won 9% of 3590)3% (won 17% of 6)10% (won 57% of 2537)15% (won 29% of 125)
Entries 30–50¢22% (won 36% of 2197)30% (won 57% of 63)22% (won 94% of 5518)34% (won 58% of 283)
Entries 50–70¢25% (won 59% of 2489)54% (won 51% of 115)36% (won 99% of 8928)43% (won 69% of 354)
Entries 70¢ and up18% (won 88% of 1874)14% (won 86% of 29)32% (won 100% of 7821)7% (won 80% of 60)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketsuntoribeachboy4RN10xBc43c8bfBC4d77c2FC9011adaD38Ba43b88996d3-1765231687816
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $2—No $7.7K—
Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win LoL Worlds 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $2.0K——Yes $7.4K
Will Gen.G win Worlds 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $83——Yes $6.4K