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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| supersmard | RN1 | CORGII | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 44% (50–63, n=113) | 48% (12984–14343, n=27327) | 61% (393–247, n=640) | 45% (537–652, n=1189) |
| Consensus PnL | $63K | $13.4M | $4.5M | $10.6M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #602 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | PM monthly #68 | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 41% (7 of 17 open) | 33% (1 of 3 open) | 0% (0 of 1 open) | 85% (52 of 61 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 71% of 66 at avg 43¢, ROI +13% | 94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 33% (won 36% of 22) | 10% (won 57% of 2537) | 9% (won 92% of 36) | 10% (won 82% of 56) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 69% of 16) | 22% (won 94% of 5518) | 56% (won 99% of 223) | 36% (won 98% of 198) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 30% (won 100% of 20) | 36% (won 99% of 8928) | 33% (won 100% of 133) | 35% (won 99% of 191) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 12% (won 100% of 8) | 32% (won 100% of 7821) | 2% (won 100% of 7) | 19% (won 100% of 107) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | supersmard | RN1 | CORGII | BreakTheBank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $3.7K | — | — | No $32K |