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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
takeormake00gringo00BreakTheBanksainttroplay
Record (consensus markets)55% (2310–1925, n=4235)75% (6–2, n=8)45% (526–640, n=1166)71% (10–4, n=14)
Consensus PnL$986K$3.5M$10.6M$4.4M
Tracked asPM monthly #25was PM monthly #19PM monthly #1was PM monthly #11
Sides with the consensus55% (34 of 62 open)no open consensus position73% (73 of 100 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won87% of 2057 at avg 57¢, ROI +12%86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52%
Entries under 30¢11% (won 33% of 220)0%10% (won 85% of 53)0%
Entries 30–50¢20% (won 84% of 413)0%36% (won 98% of 192)50% (won 100% of 5)
Entries 50–70¢45% (won 96% of 918)100% (won 86% of 7)35% (won 99% of 187)50% (won 100% of 5)
Entries 70¢ and up25% (won 98% of 506)0%20% (won 100% of 107)0%

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Markettakeormake00gringo00BreakTheBanksainttroplay
Chiefs vs. Broncos
opposite sides · consensus Chiefs
Broncos $46K—Chiefs $465K—
Spread: Celtics (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Magic
Celtics $492—Magic $13K—
Spread: Chiefs (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Broncos
Broncos $9.6K—Chiefs $1.2K—
Will the Baltimore Ravens win the 2027 NFL league championship?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $951—Yes $193—
Celtics vs. Magic
same side · consensus Celtics
Magic $9.1K—Magic $24K—