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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
thestingsnakeRN1BreakTheBank
Record (consensus markets)75% (563–183, n=746)48% (12823–13908, n=26731)45% (526–640, n=1166)
Consensus PnL$247K$13.4M$10.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #185PM monthly #24 + pinnedPM monthly #1
Sides with the consensus54% (7 of 13 open)61% (28 of 46 open)73% (72 of 98 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +22 pts n=1096, ROI +10%
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
Weakest topic———
Settled positions, side won100% of 1098 at avg 78¢, ROI +10%94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%
Entries under 30¢2% (won 94% of 18)10% (won 56% of 2534)10% (won 85% of 53)
Entries 30–50¢7% (won 100% of 78)22% (won 94% of 5497)36% (won 98% of 192)
Entries 50–70¢17% (won 100% of 192)36% (won 99% of 8897)35% (won 99% of 187)
Entries 70¢ and up74% (won 100% of 810)31% (won 100% of 7736)20% (won 100% of 107)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

6 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketthestingsnakeRN1BreakTheBank
Costa do Sauipe: Andre Souza vs Wilson Leite
opposite sides · consensus Wilson Leite
Andre Souza $26Wilson Leite $12K—
Sioux Falls: Dylan Dietrich vs Liam Draxl
opposite sides · consensus Liam Draxl
Dylan Dietrich $514Liam Draxl $5.2K—
Villa Maria: Victor Hugo Remondy Pagotto vs Alejo Lorenzo Lingua Lavallen
opposite sides · consensus Victor Hugo Remondy Pagotto
Victor Hugo Remondy Pagotto $1.6KAlejo Lorenzo Lingua Lavallen $1—
Bratislava 2: Jonas Forejtek vs Ryan Seggerman
opposite sides · consensus Ryan Seggerman
Jonas Forejtek $1.1KRyan Seggerman $294—
Villa Maria: Felipe de Dios vs Joao Victor Couto Loureiro
opposite sides · consensus Joao Victor Couto Loureiro
Joao Victor Couto Loureiro $728Felipe de Dios $1—
Spread: Celtics (-6.5)
same side · consensus Magic
—Magic $228Magic $51K
Spread: Celtics (-8.5)
same side · consensus Magic
—Magic $161Magic $13K
Charlottesville: Jangjun Kim vs Ozan Baris
same side · consensus Ozan Baris
Ozan Baris $44Ozan Baris $4.0K—
Villa Maria: Valentin Garay vs Nicolas Bruna
same side · consensus Nicolas Bruna
Nicolas Bruna $994Nicolas Bruna $17—
Charlottesville: Shunsuke Mitsui vs Geoffrey Blancaneaux
same side · consensus Shunsuke Mitsui
Shunsuke Mitsui $368Shunsuke Mitsui $5—
Costa do Sauipe: Leonardo Storck Franca vs Jose Pereira
same side · consensus Leonardo Storck Franca
Jose Pereira $40Jose Pereira $129—