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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
thoodrsainttroplayRN1CORGII
Record (consensus markets)97% (681–21, n=702)71% (10–4, n=14)48% (12778–13831, n=26609)62% (393–245, n=638)
Consensus PnL$98K$4.4M$13.4M$4.5M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #491was PM monthly #11PM monthly #24 + pinnedPM monthly #68
Sides with the consensus93% (80 of 86 open)no open consensus position63% (87 of 138 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
Weakest topicGeopolitics ±0 pts, n=192———
Settled positions, side won97% of 667 at avg 97¢, ROI +1%100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52%94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%
Entries under 30¢0%0%10% (won 56% of 2534)9% (won 92% of 36)
Entries 30–50¢0%50% (won 100% of 5)22% (won 94% of 5497)56% (won 99% of 223)
Entries 50–70¢0% (won 33% of 3)50% (won 100% of 5)36% (won 99% of 8897)33% (won 100% of 133)
Entries 70¢ and up100% (won 98% of 664)0%31% (won 100% of 7736)2% (won 100% of 7)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.