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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| topdogbigboi | BreakTheBank | sainttroplay | beachboy4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (3666–4562, n=8228) | 45% (537–650, n=1187) | 71% (10–4, n=14) | 68% (43–20, n=63) |
| Consensus PnL | $435 | $10.6M | $4.4M | $5.8M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #967 | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #11 | was PM monthly #24 |
| Sides with the consensus | 66% (25 of 38 open) | 81% (58 of 72 open) | no open consensus position | 100% (2 of 2 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 1153 at avg 62¢, ROI +44% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 97% of 112) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 0% | 3% (won 17% of 6) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 22% (won 100% of 257) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 29% (won 56% of 62) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 27% (won 100% of 313) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 54% (won 51% of 115) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 41% (won 100% of 471) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 0% | 14% (won 86% of 29) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | topdogbigboi | BreakTheBank | sainttroplay | beachboy4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Commanders (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Commanders | Eagles $241 | Commanders $32K | — | — |
| Spread: Commanders (-6.5) same side · consensus Commanders | Commanders $82 | Commanders $161K | — | — |