Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
topdogbigboiRN1sainttroplayprimm
Record (consensus markets)43% (4019–5395, n=9414)47% (13860–15343, n=29203)71% (10–4, n=14)50% (1028–1027, n=2055)
Consensus PnL$435$13.4M$4.4M$3.4M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #967PM monthly #24 + pinnedwas PM monthly #11PM monthly #181
Sides with the consensus46% (11 of 24 open)67% (4 of 6 open)no open consensus positionno open consensus position
Strongest topics
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won100% of 1259 at avg 63¢, ROI +43%94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52%99% of 919 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢9% (won 98% of 113)10% (won 57% of 2537)0%5% (won 94% of 49)
Entries 30–50¢21% (won 100% of 265)22% (won 94% of 5518)50% (won 100% of 5)42% (won 99% of 382)
Entries 50–70¢27% (won 100% of 346)36% (won 99% of 8928)50% (won 100% of 5)49% (won 99% of 446)
Entries 70¢ and up42% (won 100% of 535)32% (won 100% of 7821)0%5% (won 100% of 42)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarkettopdogbigboiRN1sainttroplayprimm
Rolex Paris Masters: Lorenzo Musetti vs Hubert Hurkacz
opposite sides · consensus Hubert Hurkacz
Hubert Hurkacz $107Lorenzo Musetti $46K——
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Venus Williams vs Mary Stoiana
opposite sides · consensus Mary Stoiana
Venus Williams $6Mary Stoiana $21K——
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
No $316No $7.7K——
Luanda: Isabella Shinikova vs Dune Vaissaud
same side · consensus Isabella Shinikova
Dune Vaissaud $36Dune Vaissaud $273——