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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
topdogbigboisainttroplayRN1primm
Record (consensus markets)43% (4019–5395, n=9414)71% (10–4, n=14)47% (13860–15343, n=29203)50% (1028–1027, n=2055)
Consensus PnL$435$4.4M$13.4M$3.4M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #967was PM monthly #11PM monthly #24 + pinnedPM monthly #181
Sides with the consensus46% (11 of 24 open)no open consensus position67% (4 of 6 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won100% of 1259 at avg 63¢, ROI +43%100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52%94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%99% of 919 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢9% (won 98% of 113)0%10% (won 57% of 2537)5% (won 94% of 49)
Entries 30–50¢21% (won 100% of 265)50% (won 100% of 5)22% (won 94% of 5518)42% (won 99% of 382)
Entries 50–70¢27% (won 100% of 346)50% (won 100% of 5)36% (won 99% of 8928)49% (won 99% of 446)
Entries 70¢ and up42% (won 100% of 535)0%32% (won 100% of 7821)5% (won 100% of 42)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarkettopdogbigboisainttroplayRN1primm
Rolex Paris Masters: Lorenzo Musetti vs Hubert Hurkacz
opposite sides · consensus Hubert Hurkacz
Hubert Hurkacz $107—Lorenzo Musetti $46K—
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Venus Williams vs Mary Stoiana
opposite sides · consensus Mary Stoiana
Venus Williams $6—Mary Stoiana $21K—
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
No $316—No $7.7K—
Luanda: Isabella Shinikova vs Dune Vaissaud
same side · consensus Isabella Shinikova
Dune Vaissaud $36—Dune Vaissaud $273—