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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
Add:RN1beachboy4CORGIIsainttroplay00gringo000x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241
| tradecraft | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 48% (2371–2607, n=4978) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) |
| Consensus PnL | $962K | $10.6M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #156 | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 57% (16 of 28 open) | 72% (79 of 110 open) |
| Strongest topics | ||
| Weakest topic | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 58% of 2593 at avg 51¢, ROI +5% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 31% (won 11% of 791) | 10% (won 85% of 53) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 17% (won 47% of 452) | 36% (won 98% of 192) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 19% (won 78% of 484) | 35% (won 99% of 187) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 33% (won 96% of 866) | 20% (won 100% of 107) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | tradecraft | BreakTheBank |
|---|---|---|
| Raiders vs. Jets opposite sides · consensus Raiders | Jets $30 | Raiders $171K |
| Ravens vs. Bills same side · consensus Bills | Bills $140 | Bills $378K |
| Cardinals vs. Cowboys same side · consensus Cowboys | Cardinals $34 | Cardinals $59K |
| Spread: Bills (-3.5) same side · consensus Ravens | Bills $171 | Bills $51K |