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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
tradecraftBreakTheBankRN1
Record (consensus markets)48% (2371–2607, n=4978)45% (526–640, n=1166)48% (12823–13908, n=26731)
Consensus PnL$962K$10.6M$13.4M
Tracked asPM monthly #156PM monthly #1PM monthly #24 + pinned
Sides with the consensus52% (11 of 21 open)73% (73 of 100 open)53% (58 of 109 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +8 pts n=1696, ROI +5%
  • Soccer +7 pts n=592, ROI +4%
  • NFL +10 pts n=113, ROI +14%
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
Weakest topic———
Settled positions, side won58% of 2593 at avg 51¢, ROI +5%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢31% (won 11% of 791)10% (won 85% of 53)10% (won 56% of 2534)
Entries 30–50¢17% (won 47% of 452)36% (won 98% of 192)22% (won 94% of 5497)
Entries 50–70¢19% (won 78% of 484)35% (won 99% of 187)36% (won 99% of 8897)
Entries 70¢ and up33% (won 96% of 866)20% (won 100% of 107)31% (won 100% of 7736)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

8 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarkettradecraftBreakTheBankRN1
Cardinals vs. Cowboys
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
Cardinals $43Cardinals $59KCowboys $12K
Spread: Cowboys (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
—Cardinals $3.0KCowboys $1.4K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $81—No $2.6K
Charlottesville: Shunsuke Mitsui vs Geoffrey Blancaneaux
opposite sides · consensus Shunsuke Mitsui
Geoffrey Blancaneaux $2—Shunsuke Mitsui $5
Spread: Celtics (-6.5)
same side · consensus Magic
—Magic $51KMagic $228
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-11-01?
same side · consensus No
No $47—No $26K
Spread: Celtics (-8.5)
same side · consensus Magic
—Magic $13KMagic $161
Costa do Sauipe: Andre Souza vs Wilson Leite
same side · consensus Wilson Leite
Wilson Leite $9—Wilson Leite $12K
Will Grêmio FBPA win on 2026-11-01?
same side · consensus No
No $30—No $3.3K
Will Club Bolívar win on 2026-11-01?
same side · consensus Yes
No $24—No $2.2K
Will Juventus FC vs. SSC Napoli end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
Yes $143—Yes $108
Will FC Supra Du Quebec win on 2026-11-01?
same side · consensus No
No $6—No $71