← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| tradecraft | beachboy4 | 00gringo00 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 48% (2399–2637, n=5036) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 75% (6–2, n=8) | 48% (12896–14023, n=26919) |
| Consensus PnL | $962K | $5.8M | $3.5M | $13.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #156 | was PM monthly #24 | was PM monthly #19 | PM monthly #24 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 57% (4 of 7 open) | 100% (2 of 2 open) | no open consensus position | 48% (11 of 23 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 58% of 2599 at avg 51¢, ROI +5% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 30% (won 11% of 791) | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 0% | 10% (won 56% of 2534) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 17% (won 47% of 453) | 29% (won 56% of 62) | 0% | 22% (won 94% of 5497) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 19% (won 78% of 485) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 100% (won 86% of 7) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 33% (won 96% of 870) | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 0% | 31% (won 100% of 7736) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | tradecraft | beachboy4 | 00gringo00 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Commanders (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Commanders | Commanders $10 | — | — | Eagles $810 |
| Eagles vs. Commanders: O/U 40.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $46 | — | — | Over $644 |