← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| twinna | 00gringo00 | RN1 | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 50% (98–97, n=195) | 75% (6–2, n=8) | 47% (13855–15340, n=29195) | 45% (542–652, n=1194) |
| Consensus PnL | $72K | $3.5M | $13.4M | $10.6M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #406 | was PM monthly #19 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 74% (17 of 23 open) | no open consensus position | 100% (4 of 4 open) | 90% (146 of 163 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled |
| |
| Weakest topic | NHL −7 pts, n=103 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 51% of 207 at avg 47¢, ROI +8% | 86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25% | 94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 19% (won 15% of 39) | 0% | 10% (won 57% of 2537) | 10% (won 82% of 56) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 38% (won 48% of 79) | 0% | 22% (won 94% of 5518) | 36% (won 98% of 198) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 31% (won 61% of 64) | 100% (won 86% of 7) | 36% (won 99% of 8928) | 35% (won 99% of 191) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 12% (won 88% of 25) | 0% | 32% (won 100% of 7821) | 19% (won 100% of 107) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | twinna | 00gringo00 | RN1 | BreakTheBank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $19K | — | — | No $28K |