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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
uninformedflowwbeachboy40x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241BreakTheBank
Record (consensus markets)70% (32006–13803, n=45809)68% (43–20, n=63)56% (101–79, n=180)45% (526–640, n=1166)
Consensus PnL-$6.8K$5.8M$3.5M$10.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #663was PM monthly #24was PM monthly #373PM monthly #1
Sides with the consensus100% (1 of 1 open)100% (1 of 1 open)no open consensus position71% (73 of 103 open)
Strongest topics
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
  • MLB +46 pts n=20, ROI +49%
  • Esports +35 pts n=28, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +30 pts n=52, ROI +38%
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
Weakest topic—NBA −6 pts, n=92——
Settled positions, side won66% of 6902 at avg 62¢, ROI +9%57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%
Entries under 30¢16% (won 12% of 1127)3% (won 17% of 6)7% (won 75% of 8)10% (won 85% of 53)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 35% of 1083)29% (won 56% of 62)26% (won 93% of 29)36% (won 98% of 192)
Entries 50–70¢18% (won 67% of 1225)54% (won 51% of 115)42% (won 96% of 47)35% (won 99% of 187)
Entries 70¢ and up50% (won 92% of 3467)14% (won 86% of 29)24% (won 96% of 27)20% (won 100% of 107)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.