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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| zb8 | BreakTheBank | sainttroplay | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 53% (529–465, n=994) | 45% (537–652, n=1189) | 71% (10–4, n=14) |
| Consensus PnL | $422K | $10.6M | $4.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #72 | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #11 |
| Sides with the consensus | 88% (7 of 8 open) | 85% (50 of 59 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
|
| |
| Weakest topic | Crypto −14 pts, n=15 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 925 at avg 54¢, ROI +8% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 27% (won 11% of 251) | 10% (won 82% of 56) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 18% (won 46% of 170) | 36% (won 98% of 198) | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 19% (won 73% of 180) | 35% (won 99% of 191) | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 35% (won 96% of 324) | 19% (won 100% of 107) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | zb8 | BreakTheBank | sainttroplay |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $2.8K | No $202K | — |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $5.9K | No $32K | — |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House same side · consensus Yes | Yes $16K | Yes $170K | — |