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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
zb8BreakTheBanksainttroplayprimm
Record (consensus markets)53% (530–468, n=998)45% (542–652, n=1194)71% (10–4, n=14)50% (1028–1027, n=2055)
Consensus PnL$422K$10.6M$4.4M$3.4M
Tracked asPM monthly #72PM monthly #1was PM monthly #11PM monthly #181
Sides with the consensus88% (7 of 8 open)90% (147 of 164 open)no open consensus positionno open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=134, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=279, ROI +38%
Weakest topicCrypto −14 pts, n=15———
Settled positions, side won59% of 925 at avg 54¢, ROI +8%97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52%99% of 919 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢27% (won 11% of 251)10% (won 82% of 56)0%5% (won 94% of 49)
Entries 30–50¢18% (won 46% of 170)36% (won 98% of 198)50% (won 100% of 5)42% (won 99% of 382)
Entries 50–70¢19% (won 73% of 180)35% (won 99% of 191)50% (won 100% of 5)49% (won 99% of 446)
Entries 70¢ and up35% (won 96% of 324)19% (won 100% of 107)0%5% (won 100% of 42)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketzb8BreakTheBanksainttroplayprimm
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $2.8KNo $202K——
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $6.0KNo $28K——
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $16KYes $172K——